Three quarters of 2022 are in the books, and it is certainly three quarters fixed income investors would all like to forget. As has become our custom, we present a Market Scorecard to document what has occurred across fixed income markets. The numbers are breathtakingly bad and putting them (once again) in a historical context, the bond vigilantes have delivered on the worst three quarter stretch (for some sectors) ever. The broad corporate market, for example, has seen its worst three quarters in succession since inception of modern corporate indices. The same can be said for the broad US Treasury market. At this point, however, we are beginning to see the light at the end of the tunnel.
Equity markets fell sharply for a third straight quarter in Q3, 2022. The big story for the quarter was the tightening of financial conditions driven by expectations for a more aggressive global rate hike cycle.
The second quarter of 2022 saw equity markets finish lower for a second straight quarter. The decline in the S&P 500 in the first half of 2022 has been the largest since 1970. Inflation concerns were the biggest drag on risk sentiment in the second quarter.
As we close what has been among the most tumultuous quarters in fixed income history, we are struck by the fact that we are about to discuss interest rate moves and total returns of historic magnitude. Unfortunately, the past two years have led us to utter similar statements rather often.
US equities came under pressure in the first quarter of 2022 with the S&P 500 suffering its first quarterly decline since the depths of the pandemic in March 2020. While the Fed’s hawkish policy pivot dominated the headlines …
For most of the world, the hope for 2022 is that it is the least bad year of the last three. But for global financial markets, this feels like a far-too-lofty aspiration. Following years of surging returns formost financial assets over the past several years …
