Research and Commentary
FIS Group Archive | A Clear PerspectiveAbout Global Market Outlook Reports
About Global Market Outlook Reports
Our CIO, Tina Byles Williams, publishes our market outlook on a quarterly basis, based on research that examines market conditions over a three- to six-month period. These quarterly analyses serve as key inputs to our fund construction process, which incorporates strategic tilts to the market segments we believe will outperform over a six- to 12-month time frame. For global equity portfolios, these tilts incorporate regional, sector, and capitalization strata as well as investment process and style factors. For U.S. equity portfolios, tilts include sector, capitalization strata, investment process, and/or style factors.
Our objective is to construct a portfolio of “best in class” investments with weightings consistent with our overall investment strategy.
FIS Group Global Market Outlook Reports
2020 Outlook for Emerging and Frontier Markets
While the U.S. continued its decade-long run, surging ahead another +31% in 2019 to lead all major developed markets (except Switzerland, +32.5%), three emerging markets did even better last year. Taiwan gained +36% as investors reevaluated the “moat” of its market champion, …
MARKET OUTLOOK Q1 2020: Saved by Jerome: A Second Wind for the Late Cycle Rally
During the second half of 2019, the late cycle bull market for financial risk assets sprinted to the finish line despite lackluster global growth. Global markets ended the year on a bullish note, with the U.S. S&P 500 climbing to another record close.
Q4 2019 Market Outlook
In the third quarter, both of the leading anglo-liberal democracies lurched towards the political abyss and even potential constitutional crises, while global growth continued to decelerate on the back of trade policy …
Q3 Market Outlook: A Late 2019 Performance Pivot to Non-US Markets?
Despite a rocky mid-point, precipitated by the infamous "tweet heard around the world" on May 5th, when President Trump once again pivoted to a more bellicose stance in the trade war with China, global equities eked out a solid gain of 3.6% during 02. Coincidentally,...
MARKET OUTLOOK Q2 2019 – Late Cycle Rally on Borrowed Time
Although global growth declined in Q1, as anticipated in our Q1 2019 Outlook, risk assets continued their December 2018 romp as a result of an apparent de-escalation of U.S.-Sino trade tensions and a decidedly dovish pivot by G10 Central banks (See Table One). Some US...
2019 Outlook for Frontier Markets
Frontier markets slumped in line with other non-dollar denominated markets in 2018; though outside of Argentina, frontier markets as a whole outperformed even the U.S. market. In our annual outlook we first look back to grade our calls from last year (spoiler: very...
Market Insights Alert
Papers: FIS Group Proprietary Research
Performance Drivers For Emerging Managers
The purpose of this study is to determine whether there are significant relationships between asset levels that traditionally determine a manager’s status as emerging and various measurements of risk-adjusted return. Those measurements include the Information Ratio, Sharpe Ratio and Sortino Ratio. Additionally, the study attempts to evaluate the impact of certain salient characteristics of the firm universe, such as portfolio concentration (as measured by average number of portfolio securities), degree of trading activity (as measured by portfolio turnover) and number of research analysts and portfolio managers.
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