The Precariat Are Still Mad! Real Talk on Immigration – Part II
This is the second of a three-part series on the two issues that led to 2024’s anti-incumbent party backlash. This paper evaluates salient macroeconomic, demographic, and social factors that have or should inform immigration policy, as well as the policy solutions put forward by the incoming administration to address unauthorized workers in America.
The Precariat Are Still Mad! An Analysis of 2024’s Incumbent Party Shellacking – Part I
The electorate is in a foul mood. Not just in the U.S., but globally, where incumbent parties have faced unprecedented levels of reversal. In each of the 10 major countries tracked by the Financial Times’ ParlGov global research, incumbent leaders were either given the boot or a painful thrashing.
Laboring Under Pressure: Are Labor Supply Trends Breeding Long-Term Stagflationary Conditions?
As risk-on traders take a victory lap amid surging equity markets and now renewed monetary policy accommodation, the expectations for a soft landing in the U.S. economy now form the base case scenario for a preponderance of U.S. investors.
Yielding to Temptation: Pigs Get Fat, Hogs Get Slaughtered: Q3 2024 Fixed Income Update
As we approach the end of 2024, market volatility persists, with the market narrative frequently shifting in response to new economic data releases. But what does this mean for fixed income markets and portfolio decisions in the fourth quarter of 2024 and beyond?
Navigating Market Crosscurrents: Systematic Global Equities Q3 2024 Update
Market narratives have shifted significantly this year—from excitement surrounding artificial intelligence (AI) to apprehensions about big tech expenditure, and from recession worries to confidence in the resilience of the U.S. economy
Time For a Resurgence in the Performance of SMID Cap & Small Cap Companies
Large Cap companies have dominated their smaller brethren since the end of the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. After the economy started recovering from the crisis in 2009, market leadership was initially powered by small names but as the recovery stabilized, larger names started to gather strength and have been on a tear since. With more than 13 years of large cap leadership on the books, it may be time for a change.