Research and Commentary
FIS Group Archive | A Clear PerspectiveAbout Global Market Outlook Reports
About Global Market Outlook Reports
Our CIO, Tina Byles Williams, publishes our market outlook on a quarterly basis, based on research that examines market conditions over a three- to six-month period. These quarterly analyses serve as key inputs to our fund construction process, which incorporates strategic tilts to the market segments we believe will outperform over a six- to 12-month time frame. For global equity portfolios, these tilts incorporate regional, sector, and capitalization strata as well as investment process and style factors. For U.S. equity portfolios, tilts include sector, capitalization strata, investment process, and/or style factors.
Our objective is to construct a portfolio of “best in class” investments with weightings consistent with our overall investment strategy.
FIS Group Global Market Outlook Reports
Q1 2019 Market Outlook: Après moi, le déluge – A Late Cycle Rally as Part of a Protracted Market Topping Process
Each year we begin our Q1 market outlook by holding ourselves to account for the results of the previous year’s macro strategy calls. We then give a detailed overview of what we see as the chief headwinds…
Q4 Market Outlook: From A Trade War To A Cold War?
Following the imposition of a second round of tariffs on Chinese goods and China's concomitant imposition of retaliatory tariffs, we are - by nearly any reasonable definition of a trade war - in the heart of one at this time. There is good reason to be concerned for...
Q3 Market Outlook – A Final Melt-Up
At its half-way mark, 2018 has been a tough year to make money. Investors have lost money on US investment grade bonds, on emerging debt, on US Treasuries, on European bonds, and on pretty much every major global equity market. Towards the end of the second quarter,...
Whipsaws and Other Tradable Goods – Q2 2018 Market Outlook
So far, three of the four main themes for 2018 that we shared in January's report - more aggressive Fed rate hikes, mean reversion of low vol, and geopolitical risks from Trump's foreign and trade policy - appear on track and our Q1 positioning was accretive. On our...
2018 Outlook for Frontier Markets
The 2018 frontier markets outlook provides predictions for frontier markets in the year ahead, including Argentina, Vietnam, frontier Europe, the Middle East and sub-Saharan Africa. Frontier markets surged in 2017, mostly driven by a PE re-rating in the market.We...
Q1 2018 Market Outlook
Market Outlook As we turn the page to 2018, there are a few obvious clouds on the horizon for the world economy; however, we expect 2018 to be a transition year. Stretched valuations and extremely low volatility imply that risk assets are vulnerable to the...
Market Insights Alert
Papers: FIS Group Proprietary Research
Performance Drivers For Emerging Managers
The purpose of this study is to determine whether there are significant relationships between asset levels that traditionally determine a manager’s status as emerging and various measurements of risk-adjusted return. Those measurements include the Information Ratio, Sharpe Ratio and Sortino Ratio. Additionally, the study attempts to evaluate the impact of certain salient characteristics of the firm universe, such as portfolio concentration (as measured by average number of portfolio securities), degree of trading activity (as measured by portfolio turnover) and number of research analysts and portfolio managers.
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Market Outlook and Research Webinars
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