Research and Commentary
FIS Group Archive | A Clear PerspectiveAbout Global Market Outlook Reports
About Global Market Outlook Reports
Our CIO, Tina Byles Williams, publishes our market outlook on a quarterly basis, based on research that examines market conditions over a three- to six-month period. These quarterly analyses serve as key inputs to our fund construction process, which incorporates strategic tilts to the market segments we believe will outperform over a six- to 12-month time frame. For global equity portfolios, these tilts incorporate regional, sector, and capitalization strata as well as investment process and style factors. For U.S. equity portfolios, tilts include sector, capitalization strata, investment process, and/or style factors.
Our objective is to construct a portfolio of “best in class” investments with weightings consistent with our overall investment strategy.
FIS Group Global Market Outlook Reports
Q4 2019 Market Outlook
In the third quarter, both of the leading anglo-liberal democracies lurched towards the political abyss and even potential constitutional crises, while global growth continued to decelerate on the back of trade policy …
Q3 Market Outlook: A Late 2019 Performance Pivot to Non-US Markets?
Despite a rocky mid-point, precipitated by the infamous "tweet heard around the world" on May 5th, when President Trump once again pivoted to a more bellicose stance in the trade war with China, global equities eked out a solid gain of 3.6% during 02. Coincidentally,...
MARKET OUTLOOK Q2 2019 – Late Cycle Rally on Borrowed Time
Although global growth declined in Q1, as anticipated in our Q1 2019 Outlook, risk assets continued their December 2018 romp as a result of an apparent de-escalation of U.S.-Sino trade tensions and a decidedly dovish pivot by G10 Central banks (See Table One). Some US...
2019 Outlook for Frontier Markets
Frontier markets slumped in line with other non-dollar denominated markets in 2018; though outside of Argentina, frontier markets as a whole outperformed even the U.S. market. In our annual outlook we first look back to grade our calls from last year (spoiler: very...
Q1 2019 Market Outlook: Après moi, le déluge – A Late Cycle Rally as Part of a Protracted Market Topping Process
Each year we begin our Q1 market outlook by holding ourselves to account for the results of the previous year’s macro strategy calls. We then give a detailed overview of what we see as the chief headwinds…
Q4 Market Outlook: From A Trade War To A Cold War?
Following the imposition of a second round of tariffs on Chinese goods and China's concomitant imposition of retaliatory tariffs, we are - by nearly any reasonable definition of a trade war - in the heart of one at this time. There is good reason to be concerned for...
Market Insights Alert
Papers: FIS Group Proprietary Research
The Sweet Spot in the US Equity Markets: Part 1
The US equity markets exhibit observable biases over time, alternately favoring one group of stocks over others: large cap vs. small cap; value vs. growth; defensive vs. dynamic; sector rotation, etc. We questioned whether there was a longer term benefit to favoring one group of stocks over the others.
Stories from Shanghai and the Mobile Payments in China
China has a long history of pioneering revolutionary change in payments. Coins dating from at least 700 BC have now been found in China, making it the first place in the world (that we know of) to issue coins.
Monetary Policy at the end of the Road?
As central bankers around the world continue to lament the lack of helpful fiscal policy and discuss the limitations of monetary policy after years of ultra-accommodative policy, we discuss what we see as a few of the potential risks to the outlook should the United...
A Tale of Two Styles: Value and Growth – Part 3
Yields have fallen precipitously since 2018 on weaker economics, driving Momentum stock leadership, and the underperformance of Value and more-shorted names. These trends reversed in September on positive macro headlines and a pickup in yields.
A Tale of Two Styles: Value and Growth – Part 2
It has been the best of times, it has been the worst of times…for growth and value…over the last decade. Since the end of the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), economic and market conditions have been generally favorable for US growth stocks. The economy grew at a slow...
A Tale of Two Styles: Value and Growth – Part 1
It has been the best of times, it has been the worst of times…for growth and value…over the last decade. Since the end of the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), economic and market conditions have been generally favorable for US growth stocks.
Videos And Webinars
Market Outlook and Research Webinars
FIS Group 1Q 2016 Market Outlook Webinar-20160121 1902-1
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Duration: 47 minutes
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FIS Group Q3 Market Outlook Webinar-20150724 1501-1
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Duration: 38 minutes
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2015 Global Market Outlook
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Duration: 42 minutes
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View Q4, 2014 Webinar
Tina Byles Williams, CEO/CIO of FIS Group leads a wide-ranging discussion on FIS Group’s view of geopolitical, demographic and macroeconomic trends shaping risk and investable opportunities for institutional investors.
The panel moderator Sam Austin, III, SVP Director of Marketing and Client Service (FIS Group) and Ms. Byles Williams conducted this discussion as a part of FIS Group’s third annual Investment Symposium. The event was held on September 26, 2014 in Philadelphia.
FIS Group, Inc. is an 20-year old Philadelphia based institutional asset management firm that focuses on investing in long-only global and international equity strategies.
Mid-Year Market Review and Emerging Markets Focus
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Duration: 53 minutes
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Frontier Markets Investing and 2Q Market Outlook 4-16-2014
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Duration: 42 minutes
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