Despite the relative calm in markets, Q2 2025 was undeniably a roller coaster. The quarter opened with volatility fueled by “Liberation Day” tariffs and closed on a more composed financial note—though uncertainty around international trade policy remains unresolved.
Given the substantial price action in rate markets, we consider what outcomes the market is currently pricing, the risks to this “consensus” view, and what we think will or will not occur as the new administration begins its term.
As we approach the end of 2024, market volatility persists, with the market narrative frequently shifting in response to new economic data releases. But what does this mean for fixed income markets and portfolio decisions in the fourth quarter of 2024 and beyond?
As we reach the midpoint of 2024, the economy grapples with familiar question that has persisted over the past couple of years. When will the substantial increase in interest rates significantly impact economic conditions?